Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 6.968325 7.704089 8.522000 9.505991 10.667586 12.007852 13.690050
2025-02-02 6.153941 7.211979 8.498711 10.212785 12.491477 15.503522 19.948715
2025-02-09 5.605326 6.821969 8.392761 10.640531 13.906204 18.721783 26.921502
2025-02-16 5.096389 6.369003 8.083721 10.671282 14.699206 21.199101 33.776387
2025-02-23 4.799772 6.142375 8.023038 11.006080 15.973439 24.769441 44.400403
2025-03-02 4.364821 5.667882 7.537806 10.599642 15.929760 25.992309 50.957678
2025-03-09 4.038325 5.312923 7.182384 10.334362 16.056236 27.556977 59.419439
2025-03-16 3.794315 5.054204 6.941097 10.214372 16.409966 29.696619 71.287517
2025-03-23 3.683875 4.982273 6.977727 10.565881 17.735361 34.520379 97.452741
2025-03-30 3.447173 4.698551 6.647526 10.218662 17.564531 35.625481 111.184178
2025-04-06 3.228943 4.428795 6.317790 9.832735 17.239754 36.227575 123.956763
2025-04-13 3.040965 4.194933 6.029759 9.492902 16.957913 36.876990 138.691273
2025-04-20 2.900322 4.040587 5.884949 9.454042 17.464437 40.476326 184.585238
2025-04-27 2.886859 4.091353 6.099004 10.161514 19.986322 52.624449 385.078590
2025-05-04 2.827923 4.061851 6.167925 10.586324 21.964572 65.109251 869.113859
2025-05-11 2.720079 3.941901 6.060737 10.616854 22.880052 74.243354 1897.825816
2025-05-18 2.659825 3.897791 6.088101 10.949115 24.819087 91.680421 12442.929189
2025-05-25 2.516844 3.701795 5.812236 10.545754 24.324148 94.204353 47209.060346
2025-06-01 2.401587 3.547955 5.606147 10.282452 24.234517 99.743229 NaN
2025-06-08 2.311504 3.433374 5.467491 10.163349 24.614416 109.764519 NaN
2025-06-15 2.277890 3.416422 5.517737 10.512245 26.801927 140.755973 NaN
2025-06-22 2.175880 3.271505 5.302844 10.167607 26.279702 144.571553 NaN
2025-06-29 2.076522 3.127253 5.081264 9.784500 25.523529 144.988907 NaN